John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

BIG GARRY

G '22 · SPEIGHTSTER × SEA LEVEL DRIVE

Trainer: KING BARRY L · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

73.5

Speed fig

30.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.97
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.33
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.28
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.24
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.94
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.72
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.56
  • Distance Change From Last -0.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.34

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 8 15.3 67 92 Saved ground; no avail
2026-01-08 TP 6f Dirt 8 12.3 74 95 4-3p;6-7p upr;faded
2025-12-06 TP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 80 85 In earnest best wire
2025-11-12 CD 5f Turf 5 2.0 79 85 Vied 2wbtw;kept on btw
2025-10-22 KEE 6f Dirt 12 38.3 32 93 Vied 2wbtw;wilted 3/8
2024-12-14 TP 6f Dirt 8 10.5 68 84 Bothered st; no menace