John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 8

BIG GAIN

G '21 · MR. BIG × ALTOON

Trainer: CASSE NORM W · Jockey: LEPAROUX JULIEN R

Today's prediction

85.0

Speed fig

42.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.98
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.94
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.04
  • Last Speed Fig +0.95
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.71

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.40
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.29
  • Num Career Starts -0.28
  • Today Field Size -0.24
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 7f Dirt 2 1.5 98 89 Stalked ins;edge place
2026-03-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 5.5 87 95 Press3-4p;faded fnl1/8
2026-02-05 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 12.5 86 95 Lugged upper;no match
2025-12-26 OP 6f Dirt 2 2.8 94 89 Steered out; clear 2nd
2025-08-20 SAR 1m Dirt 5 24.5 60 87 Chased 4w; eased
2025-08-13 SAR 7f Dirt 4 11.3 79 94 Bobbled st; tired
2025-07-13 SAR 6f Dirt 4 5.8 77 90 5-6w uppr; pass tired
2025-06-20 BAQ 1m Dirt 3 6.5 79 86 Ins turn;2p3/16;wknd
2025-05-24 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 1 1.0 83 83 5path turn;rallied;up
2025-04-27 OP 6f Dirt 1 5.5 84 80 Floatd5w1/4;going away