John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 8

BIG FUZZ

G '23 · TAPITURE × GWITHIAN

Trainer: FOSTER ERIC · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

52.4

Speed fig

9.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.32
  • Distance Change From Last +0.29
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.24
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.20
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -12.61
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -3.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.12
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.82

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 6 17.5 50 81 Bump st; 2p; retreated
2026-03-22 OP 6f Dirt 8 29.0 31 78 Broke out; 2p; no bid