Derby 2026
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PP 8

BERNIN HOT

G '21 · BERNARDINI × LAVENDER BABY

Trainer: CRICHTON ROHAN G · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

85.9

Speed fig

18.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.74
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.06
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.47
  • Days Since Last Race +0.27
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.45
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.41
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.21
  • Last Speed Fig -0.10
  • Class Par Trend -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 GP 1m Dirt 5 48.0 45 99 Rail;thru after 1/2
2025-11-15 CD 1.13m Dirt 11 13.5 81 88 3-5w;bid 5/16;stdy 1/8
2025-09-18 CD 1.13m Dirt 1 0.1 96 93 Ins foe;clung gamely
2025-08-21 CNL 1.13m Dirt 2 2.0 97 88 Ins;3w1/4;wknd;held 2d
2025-07-09 CNL 1m Dirt 1 0.1 94 93 3-5p;herded1/8;dug in
2025-06-11 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 91 90 Clear 1/4;lastd safely
2025-05-09 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 4.8 87 90 Ins trio 1/8;held show
2025-01-24 MVR 1.04m Dirt 1 0.8 86 83 Cut crnr;finished well
2024-12-28 TP 1m Dirt 12 27.0 50 95 Widest 1st/gave in 1/2
2024-12-01 CD 1.19m Dirt 6 10.0 80 90 Ins pair 2nd; wknd