John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 4

BEFRIENDED

M '21 · NYQUIST × BETWIXT

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

86.4

Speed fig

31.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.20
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.08
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.46

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.31
  • Last Finish Pos -0.22
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 1.13m Turf 7 6.0 88 2w;ins pair;faded 1/16
2026-02-25 TP 1.25m Dirt 1 4.0 89 88 Brk in/jostled st;drvg
2026-01-14 TP 1m Dirt 4 5.0 77 88 2-4p;bid 3w btw3/8;yld
2025-03-26 TP 1m Dirt 10 12.3 75 89 Good pos 3/4s stopped
2025-03-06 TP 1.06m Dirt 1 6.8 88 86 Shaken up; tons best
2025-01-23 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.8 82 83 Chased winner held 2d
2024-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 4 1.5 82 91 Chased; duel outfinish
2024-05-03 CD 1.06m Dirt 11 21.8 68 87 Bmpd/forcd out7-1/2;4w
2024-04-07 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 1.8 86 87 Tug 5p;track 4w;up plc
2024-03-06 TP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 81 78 Awk st; rallied clear