John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

BEAUTIFUL TWICE

F '22 · MACLEAN'S MUSIC × TAKECHARGEDELILAH

Trainer: ORTIZ JOHN ALEXANDER · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

83.4

Speed fig

55.1%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.75
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.56
  • Last Speed Fig +0.36

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.21
  • Distance Change From Last -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.18
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.10
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.8 86 88 Bid 3p5/16; caught1/16
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 6 13.8 71 2p; yielded btwn 3/16
2026-03-12 OP 6f Dirt 4 2.0 87 Pace inside;missed 3rd
2026-02-27 OP 6f Dirt 1 3.5 91 91 3-2p;cued3/16;kick clr
2025-12-17 RP 5.5f Dirt 4 1.5 83 82 Pace inside; weakened
2025-10-31 RP 5f Dirt 1 6.5 84 78 Pace; set pace; best