John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 3

BEARINGS

G '20 · CANDY RIDE × STEADY COURSE

Trainer: MILLER PETER · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

88.7

Speed fig

42.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.88
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.10
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.84

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.25
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.13
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.11
  • Class Par Trend -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-05 SUN 1.13m Dirt 3 3.8 93 97 3-5w;outkicked;held 3d
2026-03-15 SUN 1m Dirt 3 2.5 91 89 Asked 3-4w;outkicked
2026-02-23 SUN 1m Dirt 2 0.5 85 89 Trck 4p;ran on;late bd
2025-11-25 ZIA 1.06m Dirt 4 7.0 96 93 5p2nd;bid1/4;improved
2025-10-11 ALB 1.13m Dirt 1 2.8 93 97 2-3p;bid1/4;lt gn;clr
2025-09-07 EMD 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 98 91 5-w; game effort
2025-08-17 EMD 1m Dirt 3 3.0 88 95 3-w; closed strongly
2025-07-20 EMD 6.5f Dirt 3 3.8 88 90 6-w; closed strongly
2025-06-01 EMD 1m Dirt 2 1.3 82 86 Lacked room; rallied
2025-04-06 SUN 1.13m Dirt 2 8.0 86 97 In traffic;held 2nd