PP 2
BEAR RIVER
R '21 · FLAMEAWAY × SIXTYFIVENORTH
Trainer: DESORMEAUX J KEITH · Jockey: GRAHAM J
Today's prediction
85.8
Speed fig
19.0%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +1.07
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.02
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.00
- Max Speed Fig Career +0.99
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.32
Pushing prediction down
- Speed Fig Consistency -0.80
- Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.27
- Prior Starts At Churchill -0.21
- Days Since Last Race -0.18
- BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.16
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | KEE | 5.5f | Turf | 9 | 4.3 | 88 | 96 | Slight steady 9/16;ins |
| 2026-02-14 | FG | 5.5f | Turf | 3 | 1.3 | 87 | 95 | Duel ins;fought on |
| 2026-01-17 | FG | 5.5f | Turf | 3 | 3.0 | 91 | 95 | Close up ins; out-fin |
| 2025-11-27 | FG | 6f | Dirt | 7 | 9.3 | 82 | 97 | No factor |
| 2025-11-01 | DMR | 5f | Turf | 11 | 11.3 | 84 | 98 | 3-4wide turn; faded |
| 2025-08-30 | KD | 6f | Turf | 1 | 0.5 | 99 | 97 | Inside/off rail; held |
| 2025-08-03 | ELP | 5.5f | Turf | 1 | 0.3 | 91 | 93 | Prompt 2wd; up late |
| 2025-07-04 | IND | 5f | Turf | 3 | 3.0 | 87 | 96 | Dueled;no match late |
| 2025-01-18 | FG | 5.5f | Dirt | 7 | 17.0 | 69 | 94 | Hard duel 2wd;faltered |
| 2024-12-21 | FG | 5.5f | Turf | 1 | 2.3 | 95 | 94 | 2p;driftd out;held swy |