John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 1

BEACH HEIST

F '23 · OMAHA BEACH × PEARL HEIST

Trainer: WALDEN WILLIAM · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

86.3

Speed fig

46.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.52
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.87
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.71
  • Today Track Code +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.65
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.12
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-07 AQU 6f Turf 3 1.0 80 85 Ins-2p trn;drft out1/8
2025-10-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 2.8 90 81 Cleared;widened;safe