John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 5

BE THE LIGHT

F '23 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × COLLECTIVE

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

85.3

Speed fig

64.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.34
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.70
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.69
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60
  • Last Speed Fig +0.46

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.25
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.19
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.16
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 7f Dirt 1 2.3 87 88 Prompt 3pbtw;drv clear
2026-03-13 FG 6f Dirt 3 3.0 81 87 Stp slw;ins;angl out