Derby 2026
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PP 12

BAYTOWN DREAMER

C '23 · MENDELSSOHN × COLERFUL BRIDE

Trainer: MCENTEE PAUL · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

84.3

Speed fig

18.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.90
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.51
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.46
  • Class Par Trend +0.24
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.49
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.36
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.20
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 11 22.0 74 97 2wd btw;steadily faded
2026-02-21 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 3.3 88 92 2p;4p1/4;up plc;outkck
2026-02-06 OP 1.06m Dirt 11 29.0 58 97 5w turns; stopped str
2026-01-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 5.3 79 94 Pulled 2p;not enuf 2nd
2025-10-23 KEE 1.06m Turf 7 11.5 71 Open up;5p1/4;wknd btw
2025-10-03 BAQ 1.06m Turf 9 6.5 76 86 Out 2p;bid2nd trn;wknd
2025-09-07 KD 1m Turf 3 7.8 71 82 Pace; held show
2025-08-16 WO 6.5f Turf 6 6.5 76 88 Bump brk;advance 4-6w
2025-07-06 ELP 1m Turf 1 1.8 77 76 Ins;shk clear;held swy
2025-06-05 SAR 5.5f Dirt 4 11.5 85 85 Off step slw;lost crop