John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 12

BAYTOWN DREAMER

C '23 · MENDELSSOHN × COLERFUL BRIDE

Trainer: MCENTEE PAUL · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

81.4

Speed fig

14.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.07
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.21
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.33
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.23
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.71
  • Last Finish Pos -0.53
  • Today Post Position -0.38
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • Num Career Starts -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 11 22.0 74 97 2wd btw;steadily faded
2026-02-21 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 3.3 88 92 2p;4p1/4;up plc;outkck
2026-02-06 OP 1.06m Dirt 11 29.0 58 97 5w turns; stopped str
2026-01-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 5.3 79 94 Pulled 2p;not enuf 2nd
2025-10-23 KEE 1.06m Turf 7 11.5 71 Open up;5p1/4;wknd btw
2025-10-03 BAQ 1.06m Turf 9 6.5 76 86 Out 2p;bid2nd trn;wknd
2025-09-07 KD 1m Turf 3 7.8 71 82 Pace; held show
2025-08-16 WO 6.5f Turf 6 6.5 76 88 Bump brk;advance 4-6w
2025-07-06 ELP 1m Turf 1 1.8 77 76 Ins;shk clear;held swy
2025-06-05 SAR 5.5f Dirt 4 11.5 85 85 Off step slw;lost crop