John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 7

BARSTOOL

C '23 · CARAVAGGIO × HOLLYWOOD HOOPLA

Trainer: VASQUEZ GERMAN SR · Jockey: GUTIERREZ MARIO

Scratched today

51.8

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.36
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.30
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.16
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -13.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -2.74
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.22
  • Last Speed Fig -1.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 6.5f Dirt 11 38.8 22 81 Brush gate/off slw;lag
2026-03-20 TP 6f Dirt 6 14.5 54 81 Chased inside; tired
2026-02-26 TP 6.5f Dirt 7 18.0 49 76 Vied ins wnnr;fade3/16
2026-02-06 TP 6f Dirt 4 3.5 71 78 Ins;led turn;gave way
2025-11-12 CD 6f Dirt 5 10.8 58 76 3p;shift in5/16;mildly
2025-10-29 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 9.0 59 75 3-2p;ins foe 2nd;faded
2025-10-15 KEE 6f Dirt 8 13.5 58 82 Brk out/bmp/bob st;ins
2025-09-21 CD 6f Dirt 5 7.5 57 76 Stalk 4p;bid1/4;lug in
2025-09-13 CD 6.5f Dirt 8 18.8 54 79 Stalk 3w;faded btw;lug
2025-08-22 ELP 6f Dirt 5 8.8 71 81 2-4p;edge shw1/8;tired