John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 6

BARRACKS

C '23 · BEAU LIAM × BAYOU MISS

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

73.5

Speed fig

41.0%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.03
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.37
  • Num Career Starts +0.14
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.10
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.09

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.33
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.42
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.29
  • Today Field Size -0.27
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 7f Dirt 5 8.0 77 87 Chsd 3p;no threat btw
2026-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 5 14.5 72 92 Chased 4p btw; no bid