John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 7

BAGG O TIME

C '23 · VINO ROSSO × WONDER BLONDY

Trainer: VANCE THOMAS D · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

69.2

Speed fig

30.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.31
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.19
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.17
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.16
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.11
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.61
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.60
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.49

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 1.06m Turf 12 17.8 65 82 Ins-2p; outrun
2026-03-20 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 70 76 Bmp st;4-2p;held sway
2026-02-19 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 6.3 66 79 Trailed ins-3p; no bid
2026-01-02 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 10.0 70 80 Off slow;5w 1/4;up 3rd
2025-11-19 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 12.8 64 75 Step slow st;moved up
2025-10-29 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 10.5 57 75 Off slw;2p;imprv 4p2nd
2025-10-08 KEE 1.06m Dirt 5 13.3 54 81 Off slow;3p-ins;mvd up
2025-09-17 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 23.0 47 75 Step slow/bumped st;3p
2025-07-19 ELP 5.5f Dirt 4 8.3 57 75 Slw st;2p;5p upr;imprv
2025-06-28 CD 5f Dirt 8 15.5 49 84 Off slow;ins-2p;outrun