John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 6

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G '22 · TAKE CHARGE INDY × ARCHER CITY

Trainer: DIBONA ROBERT S · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

88.7

Speed fig

6.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.74
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.01
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.79

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.34
  • Num Career Starts -0.31
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.24
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 7f Dirt 2 0.5 95 97 2p;3w upper;closed
2026-02-14 GP 1m Dirt 7 21.8 77 98 Rail; done after half
2026-01-24 GP 1m Dirt 2 4.8 97 99 3-4p;5w upper;2nd best
2025-12-26 GP 6f Dirt 1 2.3 96 91 Vied btwn;bid3w;clear
2025-12-13 GP 7f Dirt 1 7.0 92 89 Ins;3w upper;handily
2025-11-23 GP 6f Dirt 3 3.3 80 91 Chck 7/16;4w;re-bid
2025-10-24 GP 7f Dirt 1 10.5 90 87 Drew off;geared down
2025-10-04 GP 6f Dirt 2 4.3 81 87 Press 2w;2nd best
2025-08-29 GP 6f Dirt 4 7.8 78 89 Btw 2w;by tired foes
2025-08-03 GP 6f Dirt 1 0.8 80 87 Duel ins;came again;up