John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 1

BABY MAX

C '22 · MAXIMUS MISCHIEF × LEMON GAL

Trainer: DANNER KELSEY · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

91.0

Speed fig

30.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.45
  • Speed Fig Consistency +1.32
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.19
  • Num Career Starts -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Last Finish Pos -0.11
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 LRL 1m Turf 5 3.5 88 90 4wd early;btw;shift in
2026-03-11 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.3 95 96 2w-ins;aim 3/16;2d bst
2026-02-14 TP 1.06m Dirt 2 4.5 92 93 3-4w;swpt pst;overhaul
2026-01-09 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.8 92 Ins;pause3/16;split1/8
2025-11-23 CD 1m Dirt 8 59.0 21 92 Stalk 2wbtw;wknd;eased
2025-03-22 TP 1.13m Dirt 10 14.0 85 97 Bumped; bothered start
2025-02-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.5 91 93 Tracked 3p/just missed
2025-01-18 TP 1m Dirt 1 2.5 86 88 Perfect trip; cleared
2024-12-06 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.1 80 78 Wide str run; missed
2024-11-20 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 0.5 79 86 2p;split 1/4;3w1/8;bid