John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 6

B SUDD

G '19 · JIMMY CREED × FIVE FUNS

Trainer: VON HEMEL DONNIE K · Jockey: CEDILLO ABEL

Today's prediction

82.0

Speed fig

27.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.40
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.20
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.60

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.25
  • Class Par Trend -0.21
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.18
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.16
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 OP 1m Dirt 6 10.0 79 89 Ins-2p;cue5/16;gaveway
2026-03-28 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 86 95 3-4p;bumped1/16;dug in
2026-02-13 OP 6f Dirt 5 4.0 82 2p; 6p stretch; mildly
2026-01-04 OP 6f Dirt 5 9.3 83 95 Mild late interest
2025-12-20 OP 6f Dirt 3 1.8 84 95 Bothr1/2;5w1/4;flattnd
2025-10-30 CD 6f Dirt 5 4.0 88 95 5p;7p1/4;chsd;outkckd
2025-06-25 CD 6f Dirt 6 10.8 73 96 2p into lane; faded
2025-05-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 7.5 84 95 Ins;chs 2-3pbtw;mildly
2025-03-22 OP 6f Dirt 5 8.3 78 95 Remained back 3w
2025-02-23 OP 6f Dirt 8 11.3 72 95 Off slow;remained back