John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 2

AWESOMESAUCE

F '22 · UNION RAGS × COMMUNIQUE

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

89.3

Speed fig

37.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.92
  • Last Speed Fig +0.88
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.66

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.07
  • Distance Change From Last -0.30
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.17
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.17
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 1.13m Turf 5 3.0 92 Step slow;ins;4p2nd;6p
2026-03-14 FG 1m Turf 1 2.3 81 83 Dove inside;kick clear
2026-02-13 FG 1.06m Turf 1 2.3 81 78 Bid 2w uppr;drew clear
2026-01-15 FG 1m Turf 3 0.5 79 78 Hop; stdy; rallied 6w
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Turf 2 0.5 85 77 Slow; stdy3/4; missed