John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R2

PP 6

AWESOME NATIVE

H '19 · PRACTICAL JOKE × BELLA KATERI

Trainer: FARONE THOMAS JUDE · Jockey: ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER

Today's prediction

85.7

Speed fig

20.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.54
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.23
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.81

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.51
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.32
  • Starts Last 180d -0.31
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d -0.23
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-08 AQU 6.5f Dirt 2 7.3 85 98 7-8w upper; ran on
2024-12-29 AQU 7f Dirt 7 8.5 86 98 2-3path turn;no rally
2024-11-09 AQU 6f Dirt 3 5.8 93 98 3w pursuit; kept on
2024-06-08 SAR 6.5f Dirt 4 4.5 94 99 2-3p turn;4p1/4;imprvd
2023-12-09 AQU 7f Dirt 2 0.3 96 99 2-4w trn;6w1/4;rallied
2023-10-22 BAQ 6f Dirt 1 0.5 100 96 5w uppr; up fin 70yds
2023-09-02 SAR 6.5f Dirt 5 1.0 95 96 2-3p;5p;lckd room late
2023-07-27 SAR 5.5f Turf 8 8.0 82 91 Bmpd twice brk;ins trn
2023-05-21 BEL 6f Dirt 1 0.5 98 90 5-6w upper; up 1/16p
2023-04-07 AQU 7f Dirt 2 6.8 95 96 Bmpd brk;4p turn;chsd