PP 3
AUTUMN EVENING
M '21 · MALIBU MOON × LUCKY LONG
Trainer: D'ANGELO JOSE FRANCISCO · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR
Today's prediction
88.7
Speed fig
34.7%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.3 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- Max Speed Fig Career +1.86
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.46
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.90
- Days Since Last Race +0.72
- Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.45
Pushing prediction down
- Speed Fig Consistency -0.52
- Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.19
- Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.12
- Prior Starts At Churchill -0.11
- Class Par Trend -0.05
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | GP | 1.06m | Turf | 9 | 9.8 | 89 | 91 | Outrun 3wd |
| 2025-02-15 | GP | 1.06m | Dirt | 3 | 1.5 | 93 | 96 | Bump st; 4-3wd; rally |
| 2025-01-02 | GP | 6f | Dirt | 1 | 0.1 | 90 | 88 | 3w5/16;5p str;edge pst |
| 2024-12-08 | AQU | 6f | Dirt | 3 | 2.3 | 90 | 94 | Pressed;bid2w;flattend |
| 2024-11-10 | AQU | 1m | Dirt | 1 | 0.3 | 85 | 90 | 3p turn;bid1/4;dueled |
| 2024-08-31 | SAR | 6f | Dirt | 4 | 4.5 | 91 | 93 | Alter 5 1/2; mild kick |
| 2024-07-04 | BAQ | 6.5f | Dirt | 4 | 8.0 | 88 | 93 | Off step slw;3-2p turn |
| 2024-05-04 | BAQ | 1m | Dirt | 1 | 5.3 | 86 | 87 | 7w upper; drew clear |
| 2024-03-09 | AQU | 6f | Dirt | 1 | 1.5 | 86 | 87 | Out;3p;lead ins5/16 |
| 2023-12-20 | TAM | 6.5f | Dirt | 5 | 8.5 | 64 | 80 | Btwn;svd gnd;evenly |