John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 2

AUTHENTIC ANGEL

F '23 · AUTHENTIC × SISTER IN ARMS

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: CARRASCO VICTOR R

Today's prediction

72.4

Speed fig

37.5%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.45
  • Class Par Trend +0.31
  • Today Post Position +0.28
  • Last Speed Fig +0.24
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.98
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.71
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.65
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.48

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 4.3 75 76 Stalked 4p; held show
2026-04-03 KEE 7f Dirt 11 21.3 60 85 Off slow;5p;outrun
2025-12-26 FG 6f Dirt 3 8.0 66 72 Trail; 4w; up for show
2025-11-23 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 4.3 76 83 Ins;bit tight1/4;wllng
2025-10-30 CD 1m Dirt 1 2.8 75 70 4p;bid 3pbtw;wraps lat
2025-10-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 8.0 63 76 Ins;3w btw2nd;edge shw
2025-09-12 CD 6.5f Dirt 8 14.0 53 79 4-5p;shft out;no rally
2025-08-31 KD 1m Turf 7 12.5 59 72 Stdy 5-1/2;near inside
2025-08-03 ELP 7f Dirt 3 7.3 56 71 Prompt 4-2w;outkck3/16
2025-07-04 IND 7.5f Turf 3 6.8 61 68 Stalk3p;gained show
2025-06-21 CD 5.5f Dirt 5 15.3 49 84 Bumped st;4p;no impact