John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Laurel Park R11

PP 5

AUSTERE

M '21 · MENDELSSOHN × ARGUMENTATIVE

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

89.8

Speed fig

45.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.96
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.09
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.84

Pushing prediction down

  • Starts Last 180d -0.26
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.11
  • Today Field Size -0.09
  • Mean Finish Pos Last 5 -0.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 1.06m Turf 4 4.0 86 Ins;shk free;yield btw
2025-08-03 ELP 1m Turf 6 0.8 89 92 2-3w;5p upr;outkck btw
2025-06-28 WO 1m Turf 4 2.0 96 97 7W;gradually thru str
2025-05-17 PIM 1.06m Turf 2 3.8 98 92 Light steady 3/8;rally
2025-03-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 3 4.0 83 94 Inside run for 3rd
2025-03-01 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.0 88 90 Kept on gamely for 2nd
2025-02-01 TAM 1.06m Turf 7 6.5 85 92 2-3p turn;no rally
2024-11-23 FG 1.06m Turf 1 2.3 87 86 Rate back;surgd clr;5p
2024-04-06 KEE 1m Turf 6 6.5 85 90 Ins;trffic 4p1/4;green
2024-03-09 TAM 1.06m Turf 5 1.8 93 88 Svd gnd;improved