John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 15

AUNT MO

F '22 · UNCLE MO × KALLIO

Trainer: CARRINGTON DALE · Jockey: SOSA LAUREANO

Today's prediction

72.6

Speed fig

10.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.55
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.50
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.49
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.24
  • Class Par Trend +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.22
  • Today Field Size -0.83
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.78
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.36

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.13m Turf 7 22.0 62 93 Prsd pc;svd gnd;tired
2026-01-10 TP 1.25m Dirt 7 24.5 63 88 Ins;faltered 3/8;eased
2025-12-17 TP 6.5f Dirt 11 14.5 68 91 Awk st; no menace
2025-11-21 CD 7f Dirt 5 7.8 78 83 Vied ins wnnr;gave way
2025-10-24 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 5.8 80 86 Ins;headed 1/4;faded
2025-09-06 KD 1m Turf 4 5.5 73 86 Inside;alter out 3/16
2025-07-26 ELP 1m Turf 3 1.3 80 Prss 2w;outkck;kept on
2025-06-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 1.5 84 91 3w1st;2p upr;yielded
2025-03-09 SA 6f Turf 5 3.3 80 87 Bpd st;inside;weakened
2024-12-07 LRC 1.06m Dirt 7 25.3 68 92 Bit keen;2w;3-4w;angld