John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 3

ATI GIRL

F '23 · NYQUIST × HEAVENLY SCAT

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

80.2

Speed fig

44.5%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.44
  • Today Track Code +0.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.56
  • Class Par Trend +0.41
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.35
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.20
  • Today Field Size -0.19
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1.25m Dirt 2 1.5 85 84 Stalk ins;3w upr;ranon
2026-03-29 GP 1.06m Dirt 4 1.5 85 79 4-5wd trip; stayed on
2026-02-07 TAM 1.06m Turf 2 6.3 76 75 4p2nd;bid1/4;late gain
2025-12-27 TAM 1.06m Turf 3 3.5 68 75 Bmp brk;4p2nd;lt gain
2025-12-06 TAM 1m Turf 4 1.0 80 74 3-4p;7p upr;ran on
2025-08-28 KD 1m Turf 7 11.3 60 72 Off rail turn;7-8w str
2025-08-08 ELP 1m Dirt 4 20.5 51 78 Rear 4-3p; improved