John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 1

ASHEVILLE

C '23 · OMAHA BEACH × SHIELDMAIDEN

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

84.9

Speed fig

63.1%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.15
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Num Career Starts +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.18
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.15
  • Starts Last 180d -0.12
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.11
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 3 2.0 81 92 3p;5p upr;belatedly