John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 3

ASBURY PARK

C '22 · FRANKEL × LIMONAR

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

90.1

Speed fig

34.9%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Today Purse Log10 +0.54

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.27
  • Days Since Last Race -0.21
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.20
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-10-04 BAQ 1.38m Turf 1 2.0 93 92 Ins-2p;3p1/4;mvd out
2025-09-01 SAR 1.06m Turf 3 1.5 86 90 Hit gate;2p;swung6p1/4
2025-07-18 SAR 1.06m Turf 6 5.5 89 87 Hit gate;awkward;5p1/4
2025-06-06 SAR 1.06m Turf 1 3.5 83 88 3-4p;rally6p1/4;clear
2024-08-17 SAR 1.06m Turf 5 2.0 75 82 3w uppr; late interest