John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

ARTHUR'S COURT

G '22 · NYQUIST × LEIGH COURT

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

76.0

Speed fig

30.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.26
  • Last Finish Pos +0.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.21
  • Today Post Position +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.52
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.22
  • Class Par Trend -0.21
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.20
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 4.0 80 82 3-2p;bid 5/16;drew clr
2026-03-15 FG 1.04m Dirt 3 4.5 78 80 Press; duel btw; wknd
2026-02-06 FG 1.06m Turf 5 4.8 74 83 Track; 5w; no close
2026-01-10 FG 1.06m Dirt 6 8.0 79 86 Vied; press; retreated
2025-12-27 FG 1m Turf 7 4.8 74 87 Btwn; 6w; empty
2025-11-20 FG 1.06m Turf 5 5.5 79 87 Tracked 4w; wknd
2025-06-22 MTH 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 75 84 Bid turn; led; dug in
2025-05-10 MTH 1.06m Dirt 3 4.0 78 83 Vied inside; weakened
2025-04-13 OP 6f Dirt 5 9.8 69 82 Lacked closing kick
2025-03-01 OP 6f Dirt 3 7.3 73 82 Steered out 1/4;up 3rd