John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R4

PP 7

APALTA

G '22 · AUTHENTIC × SOUTHERN RING

Trainer: RICE LINDA · Jockey: CIVACI SAHIN

Today's prediction

80.5

Speed fig

42.4%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.54
  • Last Speed Fig +0.53
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.41
  • Today Weight -0.19
  • Today Post Position -0.16
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.15
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 AQU 1.13m Dirt 1 3.5 88 86 3-4w;lug in 1/8;clear
2026-02-06 AQU 1.13m Dirt 5 15.8 78 89 2-3p turns;moved out
2025-11-23 AQU 1.13m Dirt 1 3.3 86 79 5w upper; edged clear
2025-10-22 BAQ 1m Dirt 6 11.0 74 83 Chased inside; tired
2025-10-03 BAQ 1m Dirt 7 15.0 71 89 6w upper; tired
2025-08-08 SAR 1m Turf 5 7.8 76 88 Hit gate st; weakened
2025-07-04 SAR 6.5f Dirt 4 2.8 90 95 Broke out; bumped st