John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 1

ANNA'S PROMISE

F '22 · PROMISES FULFILLED × CAROLINE LOIS

Trainer: DAVID CARLOS A · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

85.6

Speed fig

48.9%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.08
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.25
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.78
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.53

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.22
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.15
  • Class Par Trend -0.14
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.12
  • Last Finish Pos -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 CD 1m Dirt 8 9.5 84 88 Bmpd st; 6p into lane
2026-03-26 GP 6f Dirt 2 4.8 87 94 Bmpd5/8;bid3w;2nd best
2026-02-13 GP 1m Dirt 3 6.5 86 94 Pressed winner 3path
2026-01-15 GP 1m Dirt 5 14.5 77 92 Pressed 2wd; tired
2025-06-14 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 11.3 72 92 Pace 2wd;faded btw 1/4
2025-05-02 CD 1.13m Dirt 5 9.8 85 99 Fidget/brsh st;3w;outk
2025-03-29 GP 1.06m Dirt 2 2.3 92 95 Track;2-3p;2nd bst
2025-03-06 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 92 87 Prsd pc;3p;edge clear
2025-02-05 GP 7f Dirt 1 1.3 86 81 Press 3p; drove clear
2024-11-30 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 6.0 79 81 5p;chased 4p2nd;no bid
2024-11-13 CD 1m Dirt 2 0.3 74 78 Ins foe;shk free;naild