John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 3

ANCIENT HISTORY

G '22 · ANTHONY'S CROSS × STORMY TOO

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

76.3

Speed fig

17.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.90
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.44
  • Today Track Code +0.32
  • Last Finish Pos +0.26
  • Num Career Starts +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.34
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.21
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.20
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.5 90 86 2p;wait;3w upr;edg pst
2025-06-20 CD 6f Dirt 6 12.0 60 87 Off slow; trailed 2p