John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 3

AMERICAN POPE

C '24 · AMERICAN PHAROAH × THIRSTY MADAM

Trainer: MCENTEE PAUL · Jockey: ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER

Today's prediction

63.0

Speed fig

19.1%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Today Post Position +0.16
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.15
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.14
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.41
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.64
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.57
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.39
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-16 KEE 4.5f Dirt 5 8.0 60 84 5p;7-8p1/4;stayed on