John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 9

AMERICAN MAN

C '23 · MACLEAN'S MUSIC × AMERICAN DOLL

Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

55.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.02
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.37
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.62

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.21
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.19
  • Today Post Position -0.18
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.0 88 90 Bump st;4-5p;up place
2026-03-15 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.5 89 89 Quick early;held late