John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 14

AMBERSSOHN

G '23 · MENDELSSOHN × AMBER ROMANCE

Trainer: MOLLOY THOMAS · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

63.9

Speed fig

12.4%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.42
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.40
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.26
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -8.54
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.88
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.85
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.65

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 5 4.0 65 73 4-3p;3-5p;flattend out