John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 8

AMBERGLEN

F '23 · NIGHT OF THUNDER × SEA EMPRESS

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

84.1

Speed fig

31.8%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.16
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.82
  • Today Track Code +0.64
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.30

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.52
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.44
  • Today Post Position -0.39
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.24
  • Class Par Trend -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 1.06m Turf 2 5.0 81 Bmp st;ins;splt/shy1/8
2025-11-27 GP 1.04m Dirt 4 5.0 77 90 Ins-2p;needed bid
2025-10-23 KEE 1m Turf 1 0.8 84 77 Beat slw;4-5p;bid;held