John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 1

AMALFI DRIVE

F '22 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × SARA STREET

Trainer: STIDHAM MICHAEL · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

81.6

Speed fig

31.8%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.69
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.79
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.63
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.72
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.25
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.16
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 4 5.0 80 Prss 5p;outkck btw 1/8
2026-02-07 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 10.0 80 88 Trckd 3w;no match
2026-01-09 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 4.5 90 88 Duel; yield 1/8; wknd
2025-12-19 OP 6f Dirt 7 6.5 80 92 Brief speed inside
2024-08-31 CNL 6f Dirt 1 4.5 89 84 Waited;split;drew off
2024-08-03 DEL 6f Dirt 1 5.8 75 76 Drew off; easily