Derby 2026
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PP 1

AMALFI DRIVE

F '22 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × SARA STREET

Trainer: STIDHAM MICHAEL · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

83.2

Speed fig

31.0%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.48
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.42
  • Class Par Trend +0.12
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.31
  • Days Since Last Race -0.26
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.20
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.19
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 4 5.0 80 Prss 5p;outkck btw 1/8
2026-02-07 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 10.0 80 88 Trckd 3w;no match
2026-01-09 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 4.5 90 88 Duel; yield 1/8; wknd
2025-12-19 OP 6f Dirt 7 6.5 80 92 Brief speed inside
2024-08-31 CNL 6f Dirt 1 4.5 89 84 Waited;split;drew off
2024-08-03 DEL 6f Dirt 1 5.8 75 76 Drew off; easily