Derby 2026
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PP 9

ALWAYS A RUNNER

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × ALWAYS CARINA

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

15.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.50
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.17
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.57
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.53
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.28

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.08
  • Days Since Last Race -0.32
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.10
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.09
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 1.13m Dirt 1 1.3 95 94 6-7w uppr; up fin 40yd
2026-02-06 TAM 1.02m Dirt 1 6.5 77 78 2p;drew off;in command