Derby 2026
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PP 3

ALTOBELLI

C '22 · AUTHENTIC × TRUE ELEGANCE

Trainer: ALVAREZ NERY · Jockey: DIAZ CESAR

Today's prediction

76.7

Speed fig

25.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +1.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.29
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.18
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.09
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.05

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -3.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -1.89
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -1.15
  • Days Since Last Race -0.87
  • Last Speed Fig -0.48

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-14 IND 6f Dirt 6 21.5 50 84 Bmp;vied inside;faded
2026-03-12 MVR 6f Dirt 3 1.3 83 88 Duel ins;led1/4;grdgng
2026-03-04 MVR 6f Dirt 5 12.5 67 85 Stalked; weakened
2025-11-26 PEN 6f Dirt 7 35.5 27 86 Retreated; eased
2025-11-04 PRX 6.5f Dirt 7 19.0 56 86 Flashed speed; stopped
2025-10-11 DEL 5.5f Dirt 8 15.0 66 90 Prssd2w; took up1/4
2025-09-20 PRX 1.13m Dirt 10 76.0 21 103 Chased;rail; wilted
2025-09-06 DEL 6f Dirt 6 17.5 57 87 Vied; retreat 1/4
2025-08-16 DEL 5f Turf 8 10.3 63 85 2-w; tired
2025-06-12 DEL 5f Dirt 4 8.3 71 86 Bmpst; press 2p; wknd