John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

ALPYLAND

G '23 · VEKOMA × IL BRIGANTE

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: CASTELLANO J J

Today's prediction

87.4

Speed fig

27.9%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.99
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.64

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.11
  • Today Track Code -0.48
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.33
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.27
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1m Turf 1 2.0 90 90 Track;3p;kick clear
2026-01-31 GP 1.06m Turf 3 1.0 90 90 Ins;3w1/4;slow gain
2026-01-01 GP 1m Turf 1 1.5 90 90 3p;bid3w;edged clear
2025-12-07 GP 1m Turf 1 0.3 84 81 Bump 6-1/2; 4wd trip
2025-10-12 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 88 84 Stalk 3w;left ld;edged
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 3 2.3 71 80 Bump st;ins;angle6p1/8
2025-08-11 ELP 7f Dirt 6 4.3 70 81 Vied 3w;btw1/4;wkn1/16
2025-06-29 CD 6f Dirt 6 13.5 73 84 2-3p;left ld;faltered