Derby 2026
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PP 11

AIR INVASION

H '21 · AIR FORCE BLUE × CURLS IN PLACE

Trainer: PARAMO MARTIN · Jockey: MARTINEZ GADDIEL A

Today's prediction

80.7

Speed fig

12.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.73
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.24
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.22
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.86
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.43
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.22
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.17
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.02

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 TAM 6.5f Dirt 1 1.3 85 87 5p;bid1/4;kick clear
2026-02-28 TAM 7f Dirt 3 3.8 82 89 Bmp st;5w;7w1/4;imprvd
2026-01-31 TAM 7f Dirt 7 8.3 82 87 Bmp brk;5p;flatten
2025-12-27 TAM 1m Turf 8 4.0 83 87 2p1st;4p2nd;no bid
2025-12-03 TAM 1.02m Dirt 1 1.0 87 84 3-4p;5p upr;brsh;edged
2025-09-03 CNL 1.13m Turf 7 7.0 74 82 Lacked rally
2025-08-13 CNL 1.06m Turf 5 5.0 74 84 Tight start;angl;bid
2025-06-12 GP 1.04m Dirt 5 7.0 70 84 4-2w turns;gave way
2025-04-24 GP 1.04m Dirt 2 0.3 77 84 Svd gnd;duel;miss
2025-03-21 TAM 1.02m Dirt 4 3.0 76 82 In tight; checked late