John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 11

AIR INVASION

H '21 · AIR FORCE BLUE × CURLS IN PLACE

Trainer: PARAMO MARTIN · Jockey: MARTINEZ GADDIEL A

Today's prediction

80.2

Speed fig

3.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.26
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.64
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.54
  • Last Finish Pos +0.36

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.48
  • Today Post Position -0.32
  • Today Track Code -0.32
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.26
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 TAM 6.5f Dirt 1 1.3 85 87 5p;bid1/4;kick clear
2026-02-28 TAM 7f Dirt 3 3.8 82 89 Bmp st;5w;7w1/4;imprvd
2026-01-31 TAM 7f Dirt 7 8.3 82 87 Bmp brk;5p;flatten
2025-12-27 TAM 1m Turf 8 4.0 83 87 2p1st;4p2nd;no bid
2025-12-03 TAM 1.02m Dirt 1 1.0 87 84 3-4p;5p upr;brsh;edged
2025-09-03 CNL 1.13m Turf 7 7.0 74 82 Lacked rally
2025-08-13 CNL 1.06m Turf 5 5.0 74 84 Tight start;angl;bid
2025-06-12 GP 1.04m Dirt 5 7.0 70 84 4-2w turns;gave way
2025-04-24 GP 1.04m Dirt 2 0.3 77 84 Svd gnd;duel;miss
2025-03-21 TAM 1.02m Dirt 4 3.0 76 82 In tight; checked late