John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 6

AFTER PARTY

G '23 · FROSTED × VENTRILOQUIST

Trainer: JACOBSON DAVID · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

65.0

Speed fig

50.6%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.30
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.29
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.26
  • Is Lone Speed +0.13
  • Num Career Starts +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.92
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.37
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.89
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.55

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.8 64 83 Bid3p1/4;ld1/16;caught
2026-04-10 OP 1m Dirt 11 31.0 30 82 Frac gate; bump st; 3p
2026-03-08 OP 6f Dirt 9 20.5 57 92 Chase2p; empty 4p lane
2025-12-27 OP 1m Dirt 4 6.8 75 82 Brk out;3w;flattened
2025-10-24 KEE 6.5f Dirt 3 7.8 73 77 Vied ins; no match 1/8
2025-09-13 GP 6.5f Dirt 1 4.5 84 78 Sent;ridden out
2025-09-07 GP 5f Dirt 6 6.5 67 77 3wtrn;2wupr; faltered
2025-06-20 GP 5f Turf 8 11.8 65 84 Off slow;ins gain;wknd