John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 3

ADMIRAL HALL

G '21 · OMAHA BEACH × THEYSKENS' THEORY

Trainer: JACOBSON DAVID · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

81.7

Speed fig

73.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.71
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.68
  • Last Speed Fig +0.55
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.48
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.34

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.65
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.14
  • Days Since Last Race -0.14
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.11
  • Distance Change From Last -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-21 CD 7f Dirt 4 4.5 86 89 Bit tght;ran on;lft ld
2026-04-24 KEE 1.06m Dirt 1 4.3 83 81 Stalked 3p;drove clear
2024-05-23 BTP 1.04m Dirt 3 7.5 68 73 Steady run for 3d spot