John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 3

ACTIVITY

C '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × SEA GULL

Trainer: ESQUIVEL GUSTAVO · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

64.2

Speed fig

16.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Num Career Starts +0.31
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.21
  • Run Style P +0.19
  • Today Post Position +0.14
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -8.49
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.71
  • Days Since Last Race -0.59
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.48
  • Today Track Code -0.39

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-26 ELP 6.5f Dirt 6 7.8 68 82 Ins;4-5p1/4;moved up
2025-06-25 CD 1m Dirt 6 13.5 66 80 3p;swung6p str;no bid
2025-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 2 0.5 74 80 3p;bid btw1/4;dueled
2025-04-08 KEE 1.06m Dirt 11 25.8 58 91 Press 2wbtw;wknd 3/8
2025-03-15 GP 6f Dirt 5 21.5 64 90 Bmp brk;3p;empty