John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 12

ACCRETIVE

G '19 · PRACTICAL JOKE × MALLORY STREET

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

79.9

Speed fig

17.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.31
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.02
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.66

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.17
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.08
  • Days Since Last Race -0.93
  • Num Career Starts -0.41
  • Today Post Position -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-12 SAR 1m Dirt 5 15.5 77 91 Out;3-2p;ins1/4;falter
2025-06-01 CD 1m Dirt 7 10.5 84 95 Stalked 2wbtw;gave way
2025-05-03 CD 1m Dirt 7 11.3 88 96 Bid between; flattened
2025-04-05 EVD 1m Dirt 1 0.8 95 96 Dueled; prevailed
2025-03-06 FG 1m Turf 4 2.0 86 89 Ins;chased 2p1/8;evnly
2025-01-16 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 86 90 Prss winner;kpt at bay
2024-12-01 CD 6f Dirt 6 13.3 77 95 Stalk ins;chased;faded
2024-11-09 CD 7f Dirt 5 2.3 93 100 3p;2w btw5/16;willngly
2024-08-31 SAR 6.5f Dirt 2 6.0 92 99 Out;3p;chsd;no match
2024-07-26 SAR 7f Dirt 2 3.0 94 94 2-4p trn;chsd;2nd best