John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

ABSOLUTELY HOT

C '22 · PROMISES FULFILLED × HOT FUN

Trainer: ROMANS DALE · Jockey: GARCIA MARTIN

Today's prediction

70.6

Speed fig

15.6%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.83
  • Num Career Starts +0.24
  • Last Speed Fig +0.16
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.15
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.76
  • Days Since Last Race -1.40
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.64
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-03-15 GP 5f Turf 1 0.3 81 85 3-4w; up final strides
2025-02-16 GP 5f Turf 2 1.8 82 85 Track;3p;chase on
2024-11-27 CD 5.5f Dirt 6 15.8 61 84 2w btw;left lead;tired