John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 5

ABOUT FACE

C '23 · CANDY RIDE × HOT TOPIC

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

76.5

Speed fig

21.5%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.40
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.41
  • Today Track Code +0.34
  • Weight Change From Last +0.16
  • Num Career Starts +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.02
  • Today Field Size -0.72
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.42
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 OP 1m Dirt 4 2.5 76 87 Rail-2p; finished even