John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 3

ABBI FEDE

G '22 · ENTICED × JENNYS PRAYER

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

85.1

Speed fig

50.3%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.05
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.60
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.56
  • Last Finish Pos +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.47
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.21
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.20
  • Today Field Size -0.13
  • Class Par Trend -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 1.06m Turf 1 4.5 85 83 Trck 3p;4-5p upr;clear
2026-03-28 TP 1.50m Dirt 4 4.8 82 86 3w;4w3rd;outkckd;even
2026-03-04 TP 1.25m Dirt 4 3.5 83 87 Prompt 2w;vied;outkckd
2026-02-11 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.3 83 81 Prompted winner;denied
2025-12-03 TP 1.25m Dirt 5 5.3 82 86 Forced in st/rushed 3w
2025-10-08 KEE 1.13m Turf 6 9.8 76 86 Pressed 2wd;faded btwn
2025-09-07 KD 1.31m Turf 5 7.0 84 85 Pace; weakened
2025-08-31 KD 1.50m Turf 4 2.0 81 85 2p-ins turns;edged out
2025-07-21 ELP 1.13m Dirt 2 0.3 83 86 Long drive;outfinished
2025-06-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 4.3 76 90 Tracked 3-2wbtw;no bid
2025-05-17 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 80 85 Collared 1/16;miss bob