Derby 2026
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PP 2

AA TAKE A CHANCE

G '19 · BASEQ AL KHALEDIAH × MA'MA'AH

Trainer: RUGGERI NICOLE · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

76.9

Speed fig

31.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.30
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.39
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.28
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.11
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.08

Pushing prediction down

  • Max Speed Fig Career -3.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -2.88
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.68
  • Days Since Last Race -0.60

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 HOU 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 Close up; stayed on
2026-03-15 HOU 1.06m Turf 6 33.3 Brief cls;steady fade
2026-02-06 HOU 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 Clear early;overtaken
2025-05-17 PIM 1.06m Dirt 3 23.3 Up show ins foe
2025-03-08 HOU 1.06m Turf 4 13.5 Vied btw; no match
2025-02-14 HOU 7f Dirt 4 8.5 Trk ins;bid5wstr;even
2024-12-07 GP 1.06m Dirt 5 21.0 3wd; no response
2024-11-15 LS 1m Dirt 5 14.8 Settled mid pack
2024-11-01 LS 7f Dirt 5 11.0 Inside;mild bid;wknd
2024-10-17 LS 7f Dirt 1 1.5 Rallied 5-w;edged clr