John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

AA TAKE A CHANCE

G '19 · BASEQ AL KHALEDIAH × MA'MA'AH

Trainer: RUGGERI NICOLE · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

66.3

Speed fig

7.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.94
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.48
  • Today Weight +0.27
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.16
  • Today Post Position +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.00
  • Today Track Code -1.22
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.07
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.02

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 HOU 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 Close up; stayed on
2026-03-15 HOU 1.06m Turf 6 33.3 Brief cls;steady fade
2026-02-06 HOU 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 Clear early;overtaken
2025-05-17 PIM 1.06m Dirt 3 23.3 Up show ins foe
2025-03-08 HOU 1.06m Turf 4 13.5 Vied btw; no match
2025-02-14 HOU 7f Dirt 4 8.5 Trk ins;bid5wstr;even
2024-12-07 GP 1.06m Dirt 5 21.0 3wd; no response
2024-11-15 LS 1m Dirt 5 14.8 Settled mid pack
2024-11-01 LS 7f Dirt 5 11.0 Inside;mild bid;wknd
2024-10-17 LS 7f Dirt 1 1.5 Rallied 5-w;edged clr