John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

A CAB ON THE ROCKS

C '23 · VINO ROSSO × BIG CARAT

Trainer: WEST ETHAN W · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

68.8

Speed fig

47.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Num Career Starts +0.17
  • Today Post Position +0.14
  • Weight Change From Last +0.14
  • Last Finish Pos +0.11
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.87
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.55
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.53

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 CNL 6f Dirt 1 1.5 70 75 Rail;lft lead 1/16;drv
2026-01-29 FG 6f Dirt 6 12.0 55 85 Press btw; retreated
2026-01-04 FG 6f Dirt 4 10.3 69 84 Tracked; no rally
2025-12-06 FG 6f Dirt 2 0.5 77 77 Tracked 3-4w; gamely
2025-10-03 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 8.8 62 79 Bmp btw/pinch st;6p1/4