John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 5

SPOTTED

F '23 · KNOWN AGENDA × XOXO

Trainer: ROBSON LAUREN · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

70.5

Speed fig

10.2%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.46
  • Weight Change From Last +0.26
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.20
  • Days Since Last Race +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.50
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.92
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.52
  • Distance Change From Last -0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 GP 6.5f Dirt 3 7.0 70 77 4wd; best rest