Derby 2026
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PP 5

SOLEMN VOW

F '23 · CONSTITUTION × RAINIER

Trainer: STALL ALBERT M JR · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

84.0

Speed fig

26.0%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.48
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.33
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.31
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.48
  • Days Since Last Race -0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39
  • Last Speed Fig -0.35
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.34

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 6f Dirt 2 5.8 81 86 Tracked 4wd;no match
2026-02-28 FG 6f Dirt 5 11.0 75 87 Slow; stdy1/2; trail
2025-11-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 4 8.5 83 90 Ins wnnr;no mtch;faded
2025-10-18 KEE 6f Dirt 1 2.5 90 86 Stalk 3w;bid;drove clr
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 3 2.0 84 84 Clear;caught1/16;yield
2025-08-02 SAR 6f Dirt 7 7.8 73 85 Bumped st; weakened